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Home » Cyber Security News » The evolution of fraud detection: From static rules to AI-driven analytics – ET CISO

The evolution of fraud detection: From static rules to AI-driven analytics – ET CISO

The evolution of fraud detection: From static rules to AI-driven analytics – ET CISO

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Financial fraud works the same way, hiding in plain sight, growing more sophisticated while financial institutions remain convinced that they have it under control.

Banks and financial institutions have been on an endless chase with frauds and fraudsters. What once needed physical presence and forged documents has evolved into much more sophisticated digital schemes that are executed remotely. This transition of fraud has forced a parallel transformation in how we detect and prevent them.

The startling statistic about frauds is that for every rupee lost directly to fraud, businesses incur three to four times higher cost in accounting for operational expenses, customer recovery, and even reputational damage. This is precisely why fraud detection and prevention are no longer a back-office risk department but a boardroom discussion today.

In the early days, digital fraud detection relied on static rules i.e. simplistic if; then conditions. For example, if multiple loan applications are being made from one IP address, then block that specific address. While the rule based if-then approach did catch obvious fraud attempts, it often risked misidentifying genuine customers as potential fraudsters. The false positive rates of static rules-based fraud tools were off the roof creating significant customer rejection for relatively minimal security benefits.

This is why sophisticated fraud detection systems had to look the other way to find an evolved solution for the surging fraud and false positivity issues. In pursuit of that, the focus shifted from processing individual data points to behavioral patterns and their subtle correlation that were often invisible to human analysts.

We’re no longer just looking at what users do, but how they do it. This shift from static rules to behavioral intelligence has transformed how companies approach different types of fraud. Identity fraud, once combated through simple document checks, now involves analyzing hundreds of signals across devices, networks, and behavioral patterns. Transaction fraud detection has evolved from flagging specific amounts to understanding a user’s typical spending rhythm and identifying deviations.

Document fraud detection illustrates this evolution perfectly. Early systems might simply check if a PDF had been edited. Modern solutions analyze metadata, font inconsistencies, and even subtle pixel-level alterations invisible to the human eye. One fintech leader shared how their system detected fraud in bank statements where the only modification was a slight change in the space between two digits—something no manual review would catch.

Perhaps the most impressive is how today’s systems connect seemingly unrelated signals. A fraud attempt might trigger not because of any single suspicious activity, but because of an unusual combination: a new device, accessing an account outside typical hours, with subtle changes in navigation patterns, from an IP address with certain characteristics. No single element confirms fraud, but together they create a compelling risk narrative.

The companies leading the fraud prevention evolution do not view it as just another security measure but a competitive advantage. By reducing false positives, they approve and process more legitimate transactions while reducing defaults. Higher approval + lower frauds = optimized revenue!

Looking ahead, the most promising development is the integration of intent analysis. Beyond simply detecting anomalies, these systems attempt to distinguish between malicious fraud and innocent mistakes or reasonable behavior changes. “Not all unusual activity is fraud,” noted a product leader at a digital banking platform. “People travel, change devices, and adjust habits. The future is about understanding not just what looks unusual, but what looks malicious.”

For financial institutions in this space, the lesson seems to be very clear: effective fraud prevention no longer follows more rules but smarter analysis. AI ML driven systems will help identify known patterns along with discovering new emerging threats.

Prevention today is not just about stopping the bad actors, it is truly about understanding your genuine borrowers. The foundation for best security measures and customer experience is the same — a deep, nuanced understanding of human behavior.

The author is Rajat Deshpande, Co-Founder and CEO at FinBox.

Disclaimer: The views expressed are solely of the author and ETCIO does not necessarily subscribe to it. ETCIO shall not be responsible for any damage caused to any person/organization directly or indirectly.

  • Published On Apr 22, 2025 at 09:22 AM IST

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